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Q1 2026 HOUSE REPORT
LOOSE MONEY HARD POWER
Fresh into 2026, our latest House Report explores the themes shaping the months ahead, from the resilience of risk assets amid geopolitical tension and renewed Trump-era unpredictability, to the risks around elevated AI valuations and the payback from data-centre investment.
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Banking regulation: rhetoric versus reality
Bank regulation is being revisited, particularly in the US, but this is more refinement than deregulation. Basel 3 is still set to push capital requirements higher, and any changes are unlikely to significantly lift bank lending. Meanwhile, higher post-Covid interest rates and resilient credit quality have driven record or near-record profitability across much of the sector.
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Accountability in action
Following proxy season, the stewardship team turned its attention in the final quarter of the year to writing to Chairs or Senior Independent Directors of our key engagement priorities to explain our votes and set out key expectations for the year ahead. We sent over 50 post-proxy letters...
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Loose money, hard power
The past 12 months have delivered an extraordinary sequence of geopolitical shocks, many of them coming directly or indirectly from the Trump White House. They began in April last year...
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Market regimes, and why they matter
At Sarasin, a key part of how we assess investment opportunities – particularly within equities – is through the lens of market regimes...
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AI: history, investment, and the economic path ahead
AI hype is nothing new, but only now is it beginning to fulfil its potential. It is shifting from an experiment layered on top of the economy to a core part of how the economy operates, even if the biggest breakthroughs will take time to deliver.
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New risks, new choices
As investment services for charities grow more sophisticated, careful due diligence is more important than ever, especially with newer, non-specialist providers entering the market. With fewer listed companies available, private market investments can also enhance diversification and potential returns.
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