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Q3 2025 HOUSE REPORT
DOLLAR DYNAMICS
With the US economy, markets, and listed companies at the centre of global dynamics, we explore the key themes affecting investors today.
This edition of the Sarasin House Report centres on the enduring global impact of President Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs and broader economic policies, which continue to shape markets and investor sentiment well into 2025.
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Six Minute Strategy: The fragile freedom of the Federal Reserve
September’s quarter-point rate cut from the US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) plays out against a background of unprecedented political challenge. The previously staunchly independent committee already has three key Trump appointees on its governing board out of a total seven (note only one, Stephen Miran,...
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Portfolio Perspectives: The case for alternatives - Gold, Bitcoin and beyond
Watch the latest episode of Portfolio Perspectives, where Tom Santa-Olalla talks with Alastair Baker from our Multi-Asset team about the role of alternatives within client portfolios. For the uninitiated, Alastair explains what exactly constitutes an alternative investment, how these asset classes have performed in recent years, and the...
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What tech's big players are spending on AI R&D
Earlier this month, the UK Government reported a record £2.9bn invested in British artificial intelligence (AI) companies in the past year, with average deal sizes of £5.9m. Still, this figure pales in comparison to the scale of investment by the major US tech giants. Publicly available data shows...
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Government bonds: High supply, but no demand?
Having previously challenged some common myths around government bonds, here we dive into one of the most fundamental changes in the landscape: the supply-demand balance being upended.
It is no secret that governments around the world are spending big. From January to June 2025, the US federal government...
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Six Minute Strategy: Navigating frothy markets – why quality should be the compass
Last quarter global equities offered a textbook case of markets climbing a wall of worry. The MSCI Global equities have surged since Trump’s 'Liberation Day' on 2 April, fuelled by earnings that have trounced expectations. Meanwhile, quality stocks, with their steady earnings and sturdier balances sheets, have generally...
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Managing currency: more than meets the eye
For much of the past 15 years, the US dollar has been strengthening steadily relative to other currencies. The dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency has been a source of strength, compounded by the notion of ‘US exceptionalism’ as US equity markets have outpaced their peers over the long term...
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